Claude Forex Pair Analysis Prompt Prompt
You are a professional forex trader and analyst specialising in Smart Money Concepts and multi-timeframe analysis.
Category
📊 Trading
Difficulty
Advanced
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2
Last Updated
2026-06-28
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📋 Prompt
You are a professional forex trader and analyst specialising in Smart Money Concepts and multi-timeframe analysis.
Pair: [currency pair]
Analysis timeframe: [analysis timeframe]
Weekly bias: [weekly bias — bullish/bearish/ranging]
Key levels: [key levels to watch]
Task: Provide a complete forex pair analysis:
1. FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP:
- Which currency is fundamentally stronger this week
- Upcoming high-impact news events for both currencies
- Central bank policy divergence (hawkish vs. dovish)
2. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (Top-Down):
Weekly → Daily → H4 → H1: structure, order blocks, FVGs in play for each TF
3. SMART MONEY CONCEPTS:
- Institutional order flow direction
- Liquidity above/below price
- Premium/Discount arrays (where is price relative to range equilibrium?)
- Inducement points (where stop losses are clustered)
4. SETUP CRITERIA:
- Entry model (MSS + OB / BOS + FVG / CHOCH)
- Entry zone, SL, TP1/TP2/TP3 with RR ratios
- Minimum RR: 1:2
5. RISK MANAGEMENT:
- Maximum risk: 1–2% of account
- Correlation check with other open positions
Format: Top-down. Specific price levels, not approximate ranges.
Pair: [currency pair]
Analysis timeframe: [analysis timeframe]
Weekly bias: [weekly bias — bullish/bearish/ranging]
Key levels: [key levels to watch]
Task: Provide a complete forex pair analysis:
1. FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP:
- Which currency is fundamentally stronger this week
- Upcoming high-impact news events for both currencies
- Central bank policy divergence (hawkish vs. dovish)
2. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (Top-Down):
Weekly → Daily → H4 → H1: structure, order blocks, FVGs in play for each TF
3. SMART MONEY CONCEPTS:
- Institutional order flow direction
- Liquidity above/below price
- Premium/Discount arrays (where is price relative to range equilibrium?)
- Inducement points (where stop losses are clustered)
4. SETUP CRITERIA:
- Entry model (MSS + OB / BOS + FVG / CHOCH)
- Entry zone, SL, TP1/TP2/TP3 with RR ratios
- Minimum RR: 1:2
5. RISK MANAGEMENT:
- Maximum risk: 1–2% of account
- Correlation check with other open positions
Format: Top-down. Specific price levels, not approximate ranges.
GBP/USD ANALYSIS — June 2026
Pair: GBP/USD | Timeframe: H4 | Weekly Bias: Bearish
═══ FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP ═══
GBP: Bank of England holding rates at 4.75% — neutral-to-dovish. UK CPI came in at 2.3% (below forecast of 2.6%) — reduces urgency for rate hikes. GDP Q1 +0.6% (in-line).
USD: Fed holding at 4.5–4.75%. Powell signalled 'higher for longer' in last meeting. Non-farm payrolls beat expectations last Friday.
Bias: USD fundamentally stronger. Look for shorts on GBP/USD rallies.
═══ TECHNICAL STRUCTURE ═══
Weekly: Bearish — LH-LL sequence. Broke structure at 1.2640. HTF bearish OB at 1.2780–1.2820.
Daily: Price retracing into daily bearish OB at 1.2700–1.2725. FVG unfilled at 1.2690–1.2705.
H4: CHOCH formed at 1.2680. Price currently in premium zone (above equilibrium 1.2655).
SETUP — SHORT BIAS:
Entry zone: 1.2700–1.2720 (Daily OB + H4 FVG confluence)
SL: 1.2745 (above daily OB) = 35 pip risk
TP1 (1:2): 1.2630 = 70 pips
TP2 (1:3): 1.2605 = 115 pips
Invalidation: H4 close above 1.2755
Pair: GBP/USD | Timeframe: H4 | Weekly Bias: Bearish
═══ FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP ═══
GBP: Bank of England holding rates at 4.75% — neutral-to-dovish. UK CPI came in at 2.3% (below forecast of 2.6%) — reduces urgency for rate hikes. GDP Q1 +0.6% (in-line).
USD: Fed holding at 4.5–4.75%. Powell signalled 'higher for longer' in last meeting. Non-farm payrolls beat expectations last Friday.
Bias: USD fundamentally stronger. Look for shorts on GBP/USD rallies.
═══ TECHNICAL STRUCTURE ═══
Weekly: Bearish — LH-LL sequence. Broke structure at 1.2640. HTF bearish OB at 1.2780–1.2820.
Daily: Price retracing into daily bearish OB at 1.2700–1.2725. FVG unfilled at 1.2690–1.2705.
H4: CHOCH formed at 1.2680. Price currently in premium zone (above equilibrium 1.2655).
SETUP — SHORT BIAS:
Entry zone: 1.2700–1.2720 (Daily OB + H4 FVG confluence)
SL: 1.2745 (above daily OB) = 35 pip risk
TP1 (1:2): 1.2630 = 70 pips
TP2 (1:3): 1.2605 = 115 pips
Invalidation: H4 close above 1.2755
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Always check the economic calendar before entering a forex trade — news events create price spikes that can stop you out even when your analysis is correct
Don't trade during low-liquidity periods (Asia session for major pairs) unless you're specifically trading Asian session setups
Keep a trading journal with your fundamental rationale alongside the technical — you'll spot patterns in your profitable vs. losing trades
Position size based on the stop, not on conviction — a 'high conviction' trade with improper sizing still destroys accounts
Trading too many pairs simultaneously — correlations mean you're often carrying the same directional risk multiple times
Entering before the news event and hoping it goes your way — wait for the dust to settle
Moving your stop to breakeven too early — gives the trade no room and results in many breakeven trades that would have been winners
Ignoring the spread on pairs like GBP/JPY — high spreads eat into your RR ratio significantly
- What's the best forex pair to start with?EUR/USD and GBP/USD are the most liquid and have the tightest spreads. For SMC traders, XAU/USD (gold) is increasingly popular for its clear structural moves.
- How do I track fundamentals alongside technicals?Use Investing.com or Forex Factory's economic calendar. For central bank divergence, Bloomberg or ForexLive provide real-time analysis. The AI can help you structure what you've read, but verify with current data.
- Can this prompt work for crypto trading?The SMC framework applies, but cryptocurrency lacks fundamental analysis in the traditional sense. Adjust the fundamental section to cover on-chain metrics, BTC dominance, and macro risk-on/risk-off sentiment instead.
- What's the minimum account size for forex trading?With proper risk management (1% per trade), you need at least $500–$1,000 to trade micro lots meaningfully. For standard lots, $10,000+ is more appropriate. Many traders start with prop firm challenges to access larger capital.