Gemini Economic Calendar & News Analyzer Prompt
You are a professional fundamental analyst who integrates macro events into technical trading decisions.
Category
📊 Trading
Difficulty
Intermediate
Models
3
Last Updated
2026-06-28
Works with
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📋 Prompt
You are a professional fundamental analyst who integrates macro events into technical trading decisions.
Events this week: [upcoming events — NFP/CPI/FOMC/BOE/ECB with dates and times]
Instrument: [instrument]
Sentiment: [current market sentiment — risk-on/risk-off/uncertain/neutral]
Week of: [week date]
Task: Complete economic calendar analysis:
1. EVENT IMPACT ASSESSMENT: For each event — expected vs. consensus + historical market reaction patterns
2. PRE-EVENT POSITIONING: Where stops cluster before each event + which direction the initial spike typically goes
3. SCENARIO PLANNING for your main event:
Scenario A (Beat) / B (In-Line) / C (Miss) — price reaction for your instrument
4. INSTRUMENTS MOST AFFECTED: Correlation to your instrument
5. TRADING RULES AROUND NEWS: 15-minute rule, when NOT to trade, position sizing adjustment
6. WEEKLY BIAS IMPACT: How this week's calendar affects your directional bias
Events this week: [upcoming events — NFP/CPI/FOMC/BOE/ECB with dates and times]
Instrument: [instrument]
Sentiment: [current market sentiment — risk-on/risk-off/uncertain/neutral]
Week of: [week date]
Task: Complete economic calendar analysis:
1. EVENT IMPACT ASSESSMENT: For each event — expected vs. consensus + historical market reaction patterns
2. PRE-EVENT POSITIONING: Where stops cluster before each event + which direction the initial spike typically goes
3. SCENARIO PLANNING for your main event:
Scenario A (Beat) / B (In-Line) / C (Miss) — price reaction for your instrument
4. INSTRUMENTS MOST AFFECTED: Correlation to your instrument
5. TRADING RULES AROUND NEWS: 15-minute rule, when NOT to trade, position sizing adjustment
6. WEEKLY BIAS IMPACT: How this week's calendar affects your directional bias
WEEKLY ANALYSIS: Week of June 30, 2026
Instrument: XAU/USD | Sentiment: Uncertain (Fed pause expected)
KEY EVENTS:
Tue 1 July — US ISM Manufacturing PMI (14:00 GMT)
Expected: 49.1 | Previous: 48.7
Impact: LOW-MEDIUM
XAU/USD reaction: Weak print (below 49) = USD soft = Gold bullish. Strong print = USD bid = Gold dips.
Wait: 15 minutes before trading the reaction.
🔴 Fri 4 July — US Non-Farm Payrolls (12:30 GMT) — MAJOR
Expected: 175K | Previous: 163K
Impact: VERY HIGH
NFP SCENARIO PLANNING (XAU/USD):
Scenario A — BEAT (>200K): USD strength → Gold drops toward $3,240–$3,250
Action: Wait 15 min. If price stabilises at support with bullish order block, consider long scalp.
Scenario B — IN-LINE (160–185K): Muted reaction, range-bound
Action: No trade on the number itself. Watch for London close follow-through.
Scenario C — MISS (<140K): USD weakness → Gold spikes toward $3,310+
Risk: Initial spike often reverses within 30 min. Wait 30 min before entering.
TRADING RULES AROUND NEWS:
✅ 15-minute rule: No entries within 15 minutes either side of high-impact release
✅ Reduce position size by 50% in 24 hours before NFP
✅ Wait for the dust to settle — the 30-minute candle after NFP is often more reliable than the spike
❌ Never hold unprotected positions through NFP
❌ Don't trade during the first 5 minutes after the release
WEEKLY BIAS:
With NFP on Friday and no other major events Monday–Thursday, early week has reduced volatility. Maintain existing bias but avoid new positions Wednesday/Thursday — pre-NFP positioning makes price movement unreliable.
Instrument: XAU/USD | Sentiment: Uncertain (Fed pause expected)
KEY EVENTS:
Tue 1 July — US ISM Manufacturing PMI (14:00 GMT)
Expected: 49.1 | Previous: 48.7
Impact: LOW-MEDIUM
XAU/USD reaction: Weak print (below 49) = USD soft = Gold bullish. Strong print = USD bid = Gold dips.
Wait: 15 minutes before trading the reaction.
🔴 Fri 4 July — US Non-Farm Payrolls (12:30 GMT) — MAJOR
Expected: 175K | Previous: 163K
Impact: VERY HIGH
NFP SCENARIO PLANNING (XAU/USD):
Scenario A — BEAT (>200K): USD strength → Gold drops toward $3,240–$3,250
Action: Wait 15 min. If price stabilises at support with bullish order block, consider long scalp.
Scenario B — IN-LINE (160–185K): Muted reaction, range-bound
Action: No trade on the number itself. Watch for London close follow-through.
Scenario C — MISS (<140K): USD weakness → Gold spikes toward $3,310+
Risk: Initial spike often reverses within 30 min. Wait 30 min before entering.
TRADING RULES AROUND NEWS:
✅ 15-minute rule: No entries within 15 minutes either side of high-impact release
✅ Reduce position size by 50% in 24 hours before NFP
✅ Wait for the dust to settle — the 30-minute candle after NFP is often more reliable than the spike
❌ Never hold unprotected positions through NFP
❌ Don't trade during the first 5 minutes after the release
WEEKLY BIAS:
With NFP on Friday and no other major events Monday–Thursday, early week has reduced volatility. Maintain existing bias but avoid new positions Wednesday/Thursday — pre-NFP positioning makes price movement unreliable.
🏆
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ChatGPT (GPT-4o / GPT-5)
Mark every high-impact event before the week starts — NFP, FOMC, CPI are mandatory markers for any macro-aware trader
The 15-minute rule is not optional — spreads widen and price spikes can stop out correct positions instantly
Reduce position size in the 24 hours before a major event — the move can go either direction regardless of analysis
The initial spike direction after NFP is wrong 35–40% of the time — wait for price to tell you the true direction
Holding positions through NFP with no stop adjustment — even a 1:2 RR trade can become a 1:5 loss in 30 seconds
Trading the first 5 minutes of a news release — spreads are at maximum
Assuming strong data always strengthens the currency — 'buy the rumour, sell the news' reversal happens frequently
Ignoring currency correlations — USD weakness affects Gold, indices, crypto, and all major pairs simultaneously
- Where can I find a free economic calendar?Investing.com, Forex Factory, and ForexLive all provide free calendars with impact ratings, consensus forecasts, and historical data. MetaTrader 5 includes an integrated calendar accessible from the terminal.
- What are the most market-moving economic events?US: NFP (1st Friday monthly), CPI (~10th monthly), FOMC (8×/year). UK: BOE meeting (8×/year), CPI, Retail Sales. EU: ECB meeting (8×/year), CPI. Central bank decisions can trigger multi-hundred pip moves across all related instruments.
- Should I avoid trading during news events entirely?For most retail traders: yes, avoid the 15 minutes either side of high-impact events. Spreads widen, slippage increases, and the move can be random regardless of analysis. Trade the post-event response once price stabilises.
- How does NFP affect gold?Strong NFP typically = USD strength = lower gold (inverse correlation). Weak NFP = USD weakness = higher gold. This relationship can invert when macro narrative overrides: in risk-off/recession fear environments, strong employment data can still push gold up as uncertainty persists.