Risk:Reward Calculator

Calculate risk:reward ratio, potential profit/loss, and minimum win rate for profitability. Essential tool for every trader.

Entry price
Stop loss
Take profit
Position size (lots)
enter trade details
Full breakdown

About Risk:Reward

Minimum R:R
Most professional traders aim for at least 1:2 R:R — risking $1 to make $2. This allows profitability even with a 40% win rate.
Breakeven win rate
At 1:1 R:R you need 50% wins. At 1:2 you need only 33.3%. At 1:3 you only need 25%.
Expectancy
Expected value = (Win% × Avg Win) − (Loss% × Avg Loss). Positive expectancy = profitable system over time.

How to Use the Risk:Reward Calculator

  1. Enter your entry price — the exact price at which you plan to enter the trade.
  2. Enter stop loss price — your stop loss level based on chart structure. The calculator computes the risk in pips automatically.
  3. Enter take profit price — your target price. The calculator shows the reward in pips and the resulting R:R ratio.
  4. Set account balance and risk % — optional but enables the calculator to show exact dollar risk, dollar reward, and position size.
  5. Evaluate the R:R ratio — check if the ratio meets your minimum threshold before taking the trade. Most professional traders require at least 1:1.5 minimum, preferably 1:2 or higher.
📏 Pre-trade checklist: Before entering any trade, verify three things: 1) Is my stop loss at a logical market structure level? 2) Is my take profit at a realistic target? 3) Is the R:R ratio at least 1:1.5? If any answer is no, skip the trade.

Understanding Risk:Reward Ratio

⚖️ What R:R Means
A 1:2 R:R means you risk $100 to potentially make $200. You need to be right only 34% of the time to break even at this ratio. Higher R:R means you can have a lower win rate and still be profitable.
📊 Break-Even Win Rates
1:1 RR → need 50% WR. 1:1.5 RR → need 40% WR. 1:2 RR → need 34% WR. 1:3 RR → need 25% WR. This is why high R:R strategies can be profitable even with low win rates.
🎯 Minimum R:R
Most professional traders use a minimum of 1:1.5 for any trade. Below 1:1 means you need above 50% win rate just to break even — mathematically difficult to sustain.
📈 Expected Value
Expected Value = (Win Rate × Reward) − (Loss Rate × Risk). At 50% WR with 1:2 RR: EV = (0.5 × 2) − (0.5 × 1) = +0.5R per trade. Positive EV is the minimum requirement.
🔄 R:R vs Win Rate Trade-off
High R:R (1:3+) allows low win rates (30%) but means most trades are losers — psychologically challenging. Low R:R (1:1.2) requires high win rates (45%+) but provides more frequent wins. Choose based on your personality.
⚠️ Realistic Targets
Take profit targets must be at realistic market levels — previous highs/lows, round numbers, key resistance. Setting a 1:5 R:R target at an unreachable price produces poor results despite the attractive ratio.

Applying R:R in Real Trading

The asymmetry principle

The power of risk:reward is asymmetry — you only need to be right a minority of the time to be profitable. A trader with 1:3 R:R who is right just 30% of the time makes: (30 × $300) − (70 × $100) = $9,000 − $7,000 = $2,000 profit over 100 trades. This is why professional traders never chase win rate — they chase R:R.

Moving stop loss to break even

Many traders move their stop loss to entry price (break-even) after the trade moves 1R in their favour. This converts the trade from a loss risk to a free trade. While this reduces the theoretical win rate, it eliminates the possibility of a full loss on a trade that showed initial promise. The effective R:R improves when break-even stops are used consistently.

R:R and prop firm challenges

In a prop firm challenge with 8% profit target and 10% max drawdown, your R:R must be high enough that profitable trades meaningfully advance the profit target while losing trades don't threaten the drawdown limit. At 1% risk per trade, a 1:2 R:R means wins add 2% toward your target while losses subtract only 1%.

🎯 The trader's equation: Win Rate × Reward − Loss Rate × Risk > 0. This must be true for any trading strategy to be profitable over time. Calculate this for every strategy you consider trading with real capital.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is risk-reward ratio?
The risk-reward ratio (R:R) compares the potential profit of a trade to its potential loss. A 1:2 R:R means you risk $1 to potentially make $2. It is calculated as: (Take Profit distance) / (Stop Loss distance).
What is the minimum R:R ratio I should trade?
Most professional traders require at least 1:1.5 or 1:2. At 1:2, you can be profitable with only a 34% win rate. At 1:3, you only need a 25% win rate. Never take trades where the potential loss exceeds the potential gain.
How does R:R relate to win rate?
Breakeven win rate = 1 / (1 + R:R ratio). At 1:1 → 50% needed. At 1:2 → 33.3%. At 1:3 → 25%. A strategy with 1:3 R:R and 35% win rate has positive expectancy and is profitable over time.
What is trading expectancy?
Expectancy = (Win% × Average Win) − (Loss% × Average Loss). Positive expectancy means the strategy makes money over time. Example: 40% wins at $200, 60% losses at $100 = (0.4×200) − (0.6×100) = $80−$60 = $20 positive expectancy per trade.
Should I always move stop loss to break even?
Moving stop loss to breakeven after a certain profit protects capital and eliminates the original risk. However, doing it too early increases premature stop-outs. A common rule: move to breakeven once trade moves 1R in your favour.